Kwanan nan, Bitcoin da alama yana cikin mawuyacin hali. Kodayake farashin Bitcoin yana da alama mai canzawa ne, cryptocurrency ya kasance cikin lokacin ƙarfafawa cikin makonni biyu da suka gabata, bayan buga wani ɗan gajeren lokaci sama da $ 7,470. Shawagi tsakanin babban yankin na $ 6,000 da ƙananan yankin na $ 7,000. Na gaba, ina Bitcoin zai je?
Na dogon lokaci, mutane sun kasance masu shakka game da ainihin ƙimar cryptocurrencies. Sun jera saurin ma'amala na "jinkirin" Bitcoin, masu fashin Ethereum, da sauran "gazawa" a masana'antar, suna masu ikirarin cewa wannan rukunin kadarar bashi da makoma. Koyaya, a cikin duniyar yau da rikice-rikice, yanayin tattalin arzikin macroeconomic yana haɓaka, musamman maƙirarin kifi, musamman Bitcoin.
A cewar wani rahoto da Bloomberg ya wallafa, Bitcoin yana gina iko don babbar kasuwar bijimai. Rahoton ya jaddada cewa 2020 zata kasance shekarar da Bitcoin zata zama zinaren dijital. "Wannan shekara babbar jarabawa ce ta sauyawar Bitcoin zuwa kuɗi kamar na zinare, kuma muna sa ran zai wuce wannan gwajin."
Adadin mutanen da ke da sha'awar toshewa da kuma cryptocurrency suna ƙaruwa
Dangane da binciken da Paxful ya gudanar, kasuwar kasuwancin duniya ta P2P bitcoin, Amurkawa waɗanda ke da masaniya game da abubuwan da ake kira cryptocurrencies sun nuna ƙarin sha'awar fasahar toshewa da maƙirarin. Wannan rukuni na mutane yana ƙara kallon kadarorin dijital azaman madadin tsarin tattalin arziki na gargajiya "mara kyau".
Dangane da rahoton bincike da aka fitar a ranar 23 ga Afrilu, cryptocurrency yana balaga a matsayin kadari. Kusan 50% na masu amsa sun yi imanin cewa gaggawa a cikin tsarin kuɗi na gargajiya zai kasance dama don taimaka wa mutane su mai da hankalinsu ga Bitcoin a matsayin madadin.
Dangane da binciken, yawancin amfani da Bitcoin sun haɗa da biyan kuɗi na ainihi (69.2%) da yaƙi da hauhawar farashi da rashawa (50.4%).
Artur Schaback, babban jami'in gudanarwa kuma wanda ya kirkiro kamfanin Paxful, ya fada a wata hira da aka yi da shi cewa: “Yana da kyau a sani cewa mutane da yawa sun yi amannar cewa za a samu babban tallafi a cikin shekaru 6 zuwa 10 masu zuwa. Akasin haka, wasu masu ba da amsa sunyi imanin cewa iri ɗaya Kumburin cryptocurrency zai fashe cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci. Ina da fata game da halin farko, don haka ina tsammanin cewa a matsayin mu na masana'antu, ya kamata mu himmatu don ƙirƙirar ƙarin kayayyaki da amfani da ƙarin samfura ga al'amuran rayuwar gaske. Taimakawa hanzarta ɗaukan ɗumbin yara. ”
A cikin mahallin sabuwar annobar kambin duniya, Paxful ya yi imanin cewa ana gwada duka tsarin cryptocurrency da tsarin hada-hadar kuɗi, wanda ke ba da cikakken bayani kan dalilin da ya sa farashin BTC ke tashi yayin da BTC ta zama amintacciyar hanya.
Schaback ya jaddada cewa idan aka kwatanta da da, babu shakka fahimtar mutane game da Bitcoin yanzu. “Na tuna lokacin da muka fara, ba wanda ya san Bitcoin kuma har ma ya yi tunanin kalmar'Bitcoin '. Koyaya, daga sakamakon binciken wannan shekarar da bara, mutane da yawa sun ji labarin Bitcoin. Yawancin mutane sun haɗa shi da ra'ayoyi daban-daban kamar su kuɗi da fasaha. Har yanzu muna da jan aiki a gaba, amma ina matukar son ganin samfuran da za su taimaka wajan hada-hada. ”
Dangane da abubuwan da ke haifar da tallafi, binciken ya kuma jaddada cewa 53.8% na masu amsa sun yi imanin cewa rashin ingantaccen ilimin yana hana yaduwar cryptocurrencies.
A cewar rahoton, masu amsa sun yi imanin cewa manyan abubuwan da ke taimakawa wajen kara yawan tallafi shi ne hakar ma'adinai ta hannu, dawo da altcoyinin, saka hannun jari na hukumomi da kuma amfani da kamfanoni na fasahar toshewa.
Paxful's COO yayi sharhi game da ƙalubalen nan gaba: “Babban ƙalubalen har yanzu shine ilimin game da cryptocurrency kanta. Mun san cewa mutane da yawa sun ji labarin shi, amma ina tsammanin ba daidai ba ne dalili, kamar caca da zamba na Mataki. Saboda waɗannan, manyan masu sauraro har yanzu suna da ma'anar tsoro. A matsayin mu na masana’antu, wannan ita ce babbar matsalar mu. ”

Nan gaba Bitcoin zai ci gaba da murmurewa
Bayan fuskantar raguwar ƙimar ciniki a cikin 'yan makonnin da suka gabata, ƙimar ciniki na Bitcoin mai zuwa ya fara sake dawowa. Dangane da sabon bayanan CME, samfuranta sun sami sabon matsayi a watan da ya gabata dangane da asusun aiki, tare da haɓakar haɓaka shekara shekara ta 161%.
A cewar rahotanni, mai kula da Amurka, Hukumar Tsaro da Musayar (SEC) ta tabbatar da cewa Asusun Medallion (Asusun Medal) a ƙarƙashin Renaissance Technologies yanzu zai iya shiga kasuwar Bitcoin mai zuwa. Wannan asusun sananne ne saboda ficewar sa hannun jarin sa har zuwa wannan shekarar.
A cewar bayanan, Fasahar Renaissance za ta samar da kwangilar nan gaba ta yarjejeniyar kwangilar nan gaba ta CME Group, CME na daya daga cikin farkon masu samar da makomar bitcoin.
Asusun dala shinge na dala biliyan 10 a ƙarƙashin Renaissance kwanan nan ya yi suna a cikin kafofin watsa labarai. Kodayake sabon kwayar cutar kambi ta jefa kasuwannin duniya cikin rikice-rikice na ci gaba, asusun ya sami ci gaba na 24% a wannan shekarar. A cewar CNBC, sikelin gudanarwa na Asusun ba da Lambar ya kai dala biliyan 10, kwatankwacin kusan RMB biliyan 70. An kiyasta shi da sikelin gudanarwa na dubunnan biliyoyin daloli, kudaden shigar bana sun kai kimanin dalar Amurka biliyan 3.9, kwatankwacin kusan yuan biliyan 30; bayan cire kudaden gudanarwar da raba ayyukan, asusun yana da ribar kusan dala biliyan 2.4, kwatankwacin kusan yuan biliyan 17.
A cewar Jaridar Wall Street Journal, ya zuwa ranar 14 ga Afrilu, asusun medallion na da tarin yawa na 39% a wannan shekara. Ko da a cikin kasuwar Maris “Babban Falls” da Buffet bai gani ba a rayuwarsa, Asusun ba da Lambar har yanzu ya sami kashi 9.9%. A cikin wannan watan, S & P 500 ya fadi da 12.51%, kuma Dow ya fadi da 13.74%, dukansu suna fuskantar koma baya mafi girma na wata-wata tun daga Oktoba 2008.
Shakka babu wannan asusu na medallion, wanda bai taɓa yin asara ba tun lokacin da aka kirkireshi kuma zai iya dawowa yau da kullun yayin rikicin tattalin arziki, yana wakiltar amincewa da babban birni na gargajiya a cikin kasuwar cryptocurrency, kuma lallai ya kawo babbar fa'idodi ga kasuwar nan gaba ta CME Bitcoin. ruwa.
Manufofin saukakawa mara iyaka na iya haifar da komitin magance Bitcoin
Duk da ƙarfi mai ƙarfi da aka samu a cikin farashin kadara, gami da cryptocurrencies, hangen nesa ga tattalin arzikin duniya yana ci gaba da damuwa. A cikin makonni biyar da suka gabata, ma’aikata miliyan 26 suka nemi aikin yi a Amurka kawai. A matakin kamfanin, kamfanonin bincike suna tsammanin kamfanin zai yi asarar tiriliyan daloli na kudaden shiga.
Saboda haka, ba abin mamaki ba ne cewa bankunan tsakiya da gwamnatoci a duk duniya sun yi ƙoƙari don ceton mutane, kamfanoni, da dukan kamfanoni.
Domin rage barazanar koma bayan tattalin arziki da Amurka ta fuskanta saboda tasirin annobar, Fed din ya sami “babban motsi” wanda ba a taba gani ba. A yammacin 15 ga Maris, Fed din ya rage yawan kudin ruwa zuwa sifili kuma ya kaddamar da wani babban tsari na saukakawa na dala biliyan 700. A ranar 17 ga Maris, Babban Asusun Tarayya ya ƙaddamar da cingungiyar Tallafin Kuɗaɗen Kasuwanci (CPFF) da Tsarin Kasuwancin Kasuwanci na Farko (PDCF) don samar da ruwa ga masu ba da takarda. A ranar 23 ga Maris, Babban Asusun Tarayya ya ba da ƙididdigar ƙididdigar ƙididdiga mara iyaka (QE) kuma ta fara “siye” kusan duk kayayyakin cinikayya a kasuwa ban da hannun jari don ba da isasshen tallafin kuɗi ga kasuwar.
Mutane da yawa sunyi imanin cewa abubuwan da Fed ke aiwatarwa kawai yana nuna muhimmancin halin da Amurka ke ciki.
Bankin Japan (BOJ) shima ya tabbatar da wannan yanayin. A cewar Nikkei Asian Review, inda take ambaton mutanen da suka san lamarin, Bankin na Japan na neman sayayyar takardun jarin gwamnatin Japan mara iyaka a kokarin bunkasa tattalin arzikin. Har ila yau, tana fatan fadada shirin saukakawa na adadi don ninka sayan kamfanoni da takardar kasuwanci.
Kodayake Amurka ta ƙaddamar da shirin sayan iyakance na ƙayyadaddun kuɗi, Max Bronstein, memba na ƙungiyar saka hannun jari na cibiyar musayar cryptocurrency ta Coinbase, ya tabbatar da cewa “tsarin da ke gudana yanzu ya ruguje gaba ɗaya.”
Andarin mutane da yawa suna gaskanta cewa rarrabawa da ƙananan ƙarancin dukiyar za su amfana daga wannan yanayin game da kuɗin da ba a sani ba da fannonin kuɗi idan aka kwatanta da kuɗin kuɗaɗen bankunan tsakiya.
Tsohon shugaban zartarwa na Goldman Sachs kuma manajan asusun shinge Raoul Pal ya bayyana a cikin watan Afrilu na "Global Macro Investors" Newsletter cewa yana ganin za mu iya ganin "tsarin kudinmu ya gaza" ko "tsarin hada-hadar kudi ya durkushe." “.
Bitcoin zai sami fa'ida sosai daga miƙa mulki daga tsarin doka zuwa tsarin halittu na dijital. Game da Bitcoin, Pal ya rubuta: “Wannan cikakke ne, amintacce, tabbatacce, amintacce, kuɗi da lissafin tsarin ƙimar dijital. Makomar duk tsarin kasuwancinmu, kudin kanta da kuma tsarin aikinta bai tsaya anan ba. "
Ya kara da cewa akwai yiwuwar Bitcoin ya kai dala 100,000 a cikin shekaru biyu masu zuwa, har ma ya jefa hular dala miliyan 1 yayin da hangen macro ya canza sosai.
Bayan manufar "saukakawa ta iyakan iyaka", Shin har yanzu Bitcoin zai zama "amintaccen mafakar kadara" a ƙarƙashin matsalar kuɗi? Dangane da wannan, Mike Novogratz, Shugaba na Kamfanin Galaxy Digital, shi ma ya yi hasashen cewa Bitcoin na iya bin zinariya da gagarumar nasara ta farashi, galibi saboda waɗannan kadarorin biyu ba su da yawa.
Xu Yingkai, abokin hadin gwiwar kafa kamfanin na BlockVC, ya fada akan Weibo cewa dalar Amurka 3,800 na Bitcoin zai iya zama kasan faduwar kasuwar. Bayan rabin Bitcoin (bayan watanni 1-2), kasuwar ta fara murmurewa sosai. Bayan an kammala rabi, saboda gefen dutse Rage kudaden shiga zai maida hankali ne kan masu hakar ma'adanai, amma sabuwar kasuwar sayar da matsakaiciyar yau da kullum ma ta ninka sau daya a shekara, kuma ana sa ran "karkacewar mutuwa" sannu a hankali .
Koyaya, wasu mutane a cikin masana'antar sun nuna cewa "dukiyoyi masu aminci" wata tsohuwar dabara ce, amma idan akayi la'akari da cewa Bitcoin yana da kasuwa mai fa'ida kuma kuɗin ruwa yana da ƙarfi sosai fiye da sauran nau'ikan gargajiya, buƙata ta gaba tabbas zata ci gaba da tashi. Sabili da haka, bayan haɗarin, tabbas Bitcoin zai dawo da sauri fiye da dukiyar gargajiya ta Amurka. Daga wannan ra'ayi, Bitcoin na iya samun kyakkyawan fata, amma daga yanayin kasuwar yanzu, babu ƙyamar haɗari.
A zahiri, bayan ɗan gajeren lokaci da ya faɗi a cikin Bitcoin, wannan farashin yana da kyau ƙwarai a cikin matsakaici da kuma dogon lokaci, kuma yana iya zama mashiga don kasuwar bijere ta gaba.
Bitcoin yana tattara iko don kasuwar bijim ta gaba
Wani rahoto da Bloomberg ya wallafa ya bayyana cewa Bitcoin yana tara ƙarfi don kasuwar bijimin. Ko da kan labarin rahoton ya bayyana a bayyane bullish- "Bitcoin Maturity Great Leap Forward". Bloomberg ya yi imanin cewa a wannan shekara Bitcoin zai kammala gwajin gwaji na miƙa mulki zuwa kuɗi kamar zinare.
Rahoton ya ambata jerin dalilai da yasa kasuwar Bitcoin ke balaga. Rahoton ya kuma tabbatar da cewa "idan za a iya amfani da tarihi a matsayin jagora, Bitcoin na samun dangi kamar yadda kasuwar hannayen jari ta sake."
Bugu da kari, Bloomberg ya ce Bitcoin da zinariya, kadarori biyu na aminci a idanun mutane, ana sa ran za su amfana sosai daga rikice-rikicen kasuwar kwanan nan da sabon annobar kambi ya haifar.
Amma a cewar wani sanannen masanin binciken cryptocurrency, idan Bitcoin ya kai wani mizanin farashin, yana iya haifar da matsalar kasuwa, a takaice dai, farashin kudin ya yi tashin gwauron zabi.
A ranar Asabar da ta gabata, mabiya Twitter 200,000 da wani dan kasuwa mai suna CryptoYoda sun fitar da sabon tsarin bincikensa na fasaha, inda ya yi bayanin cewa tsarin kasuwar Bitcoin na da niyyar faduwa saboda samuwar tsaka-tsakin sifa da alamu na Hanya-alamun sigina biyu masu dauke da juna. litattafan litattafai — amma nasarar da Bitcoin ya samu na $ 7475 zai kawar da wannan lamarin, “tilasta tilasta gajeren wando a share matsayinsu yayin karfafa sha'awar sayen wadannan mukamai”:
"Samun nasara a irin wannan babban matakin zai haifar da takaitaccen sutura, kuma yawan sayayyar umarni zai haifar da da mai ido, musamman idan masu siye sun riga sun shiga ta matakin rashin ƙarfi na baya."
Abin da yake so ya bayyana shi ne cewa idan Bitcoin ya sami nasarar fasawa, zai iya tabbatar da cewa kasuwancin da ke yanzu ba wata alama ce ta sama ba, amma tsari ne na haɓakawa da ci gaba zuwa gaba, wanda na iya kaiwa $ 8,000 ko ma mafi girma.
Avi Felman-dan kasuwa kuma mai sharhi a asusun ajiyar kadara BlockTower-ya lura da alamun fasaha guda biyu a ranar Juma'ar da ta gabata wacce ta nuna karara cewa farashin Bitcoin ba da dadewa ba za su sami gyara:
Tsarin Demark (Tom Demark Sequential) mai nuna alama ne na lokaci, a cikin jadawalin fitilu na kwana 3 ya bayyana jerin ƙididdigar sayarwa. Irin wannan yanayin ya faru a cikin sau biyu da suka gabata lokacin da farashin kuɗin ya sauka a tsakiyar Maris da Disamba 2019, amma ya kai saman $ 10,500 a farkon wannan shekarar.
Ethereum a halin yanzu yana da alama ba zai iya keta ta hanyar kwanakin 50 da 200 na matsakaicin matsakaici na jadawalin fitilu na kwana 3.
Bugu da kari, DonAlt ya bayyana cewa duk da cewa layi na kwanan nan bai nuna "yanayin kasa mai karfi ba", ya kasance "yana da kusan kusan bayyanar da Bitcoin a saman $ 10,000." Ya nuna cewa yanayin farashin Bitcoin ya bambanta da na Fabrairu Misali a cikin tsarin yanzu.
Rahoton Bloomberg "Bitcoin Maturity Jump" ya ruwaito cewa Bitcoin yana shirye-shiryen babban kasuwar bijimin. A cikin rahoton, marubucin ya yi bayani dalla-dalla kan daidaito tsakanin Bitcoin da bayanin S & P 500, zinariya, sifili da ƙimar riba mara kyau. A cewar rahoton, rikice-rikicen kasuwar hannayen jari ya hanzarta sauyawar Bitcoin zuwa "zinaren dijital".
A cikin 2020, za a yanke hukunci ko Bitcoin na iya canzawa daga haɗari mai hasada zuwa cikin "zinaren dijital". Daga hangen nesa, yanayin yanayin Bitcoin da alama ya ragu, yayin da canjin kasuwar hannun jari ya fara tashi. Irin wannan tasirin na kasuwa zai kuma ba mutane da yawa damar tura kuɗi zuwa ɓoyayyun kadarorin.